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In-Depth Analysis· how was the Black Sea Grain Initiative negotiated Türkiye

How the Black Sea Grain Initiative Was Brokered: A Mediation Case Study in Nations' Politics

How was the Black Sea Grain Initiative negotiated? Türkiye, the UN, Russia and Ukraine built the Istanbul deal that moved over 33 million tons of grain.

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Why It Matters

The Black Sea Grain Initiative was negotiated over roughly four months of UN-led and Turkish-hosted diplomacy and signed in Istanbul on 22 July 2022. It let ships carry Ukrainian grain through a wartime sea corridor, and Turkish officials cite more than 33 million tons delivered before Russia suspended its participation in July 2023. For students of mediation, it is one of the few cases in the Russia–Ukraine war in which both belligerents accepted a shared, verifiable arrangement. It is also a clear example of how a middle power, a global organization and two adversaries can build a narrow deal without resolving the wider conflict.

Background

The problem: blocked ports and a global food shock

After Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, Ukraine's Black Sea ports stopped exporting at normal volumes. Ukraine and Russia are both major suppliers of wheat, maize, barley and sunflower oil, and the disruption contributed to a spike in global food prices. The FAO Food Price Index reached a record high in March 2022. Shipping was also complicated by naval mines in Ukrainian waters, war-risk insurance costs and security concerns on all sides.

How the deal was built

The diplomacy had several strands that converged in July 2022:

  • Early Turkish convening. Türkiye hosted the Russian and Ukrainian foreign ministers, Sergey Lavrov and Dmytro Kuleba, with Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum on 10 March 2022. Delegations also met in Istanbul on 29 March 2022.
  • A UN package. UN Secretary-General António Guterres pursued a two-part package: safe export of Ukrainian grain, and facilitation of Russian food and fertilizer exports, which were not themselves under Western sanctions but faced practical obstacles in finance, shipping and insurance.
  • A Turkish maritime proposal. Ankara offered a mechanism for a monitored corridor and, in June 2022, discussed it with Moscow during Lavrov's visit to Ankara. Turkish defence officials took on the technical planning.
  • Military-level talks. Delegations from Russia, Ukraine, Türkiye and the UN met in Istanbul on 13 July 2022 to settle the operational details.
  • Signing. On 22 July 2022 at Dolmabahçe Palace, the agreements were signed in the presence of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Secretary-General Guterres. Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoigu signed for Russia and Ukrainian Infrastructure Minister Oleksandr Kubrakov for Ukraine, with Turkish Defence Minister Hulusi Akar signing for Türkiye.

Russia and Ukraine did not sign a single document with each other. Each signed a parallel text with Türkiye and the UN, a design that let both avoid direct bilateral commitments while accepting the same procedures. A separate memorandum of understanding between Russia and the UN addressed Russian food and fertilizer exports.

How the corridor functioned

The initiative covered three Ukrainian ports: Odesa, Chornomorsk and Yuzhny (Pivdennyi). Its core mechanics were:

  1. The Joint Coordination Centre (JCC) in Istanbul, with representatives of Russia, Ukraine, Türkiye and the UN, registered commercial vessels, agreed transit schedules and managed the corridor.
  2. Joint inspections. Teams of inspectors from the four parties checked ships in Turkish waters near Istanbul, with inbound vessels inspected to confirm they carried no weapons and outbound vessels checked for cargo.
  3. A defined maritime corridor with agreed coordinates through which ships moved, with parties committing to refrain from attacking vessels and ports in the arrangement.
  4. A monitoring role for Türkiye and the UN, which hosted and administered the system rather than taking sides in the conflict.

The first ship, the Razoni, left Odesa on 1 August 2022. The UN-run JCC later reported close to 32.9 million metric tons moved in nearly 1,000 voyages, and Turkish government sources round this to more than 33 million tons. The two figures describe the same programme and differ only in rounding and in whether post-closure counts are included.

Timeline

Date Event
10 March 2022 Lavrov and Kuleba meet in Antalya with Çavuşoğlu
29 March 2022 Russia–Ukraine delegations meet in Istanbul
13 July 2022 Four-party military talks in Istanbul
22 July 2022 Istanbul agreements signed
1 August 2022 First ship leaves Odesa
November 2022 Initiative renewed for a further 120 days
March 2023 Renewed again; the parties disagree publicly on whether the term was 60 or 120 days
May 2023 Renewed for two months
17 July 2023 Russia declines to extend; initiative lapses

The Montreux context

The grain corridor sat on top of a separate legal framework: the 1936 Montreux Convention, signed on 20 July 1936, which governs passage through the Turkish Straits (the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles). Under the Convention, merchant ships pass in peacetime and, when Türkiye is not a belligerent, in wartime. Article 19 allows Türkiye, as a non-belligerent, to bar the warships of belligerent states, with an exception for vessels returning to their home bases. In late February 2022, Türkiye announced that it would apply the Convention's wartime provisions. Montreux does not itself regulate the grain deal, but it helps explain why Türkiye was a credible host: it controls the only maritime route between the Black Sea and the Mediterranean under a treaty both belligerents recognize. For a deeper treatment, see The Global Anatomy on the Montreux Convention and Black Sea mediation.

Key Players & Positions

Russia. Moscow accepted the arrangement as part of a package that included the memorandum with the UN on its own agricultural and fertilizer exports. When it declined to extend in July 2023, the Kremlin spokesman said the Russia-related part of the deal had not been fulfilled. Russian officials also argued that too little of the grain reached the poorest countries.

Ukraine. Kyiv signed the arrangement as a way to restore export revenue and help global food supply. It consistently argued that Russia was responsible for creating the food-security problem and, after the lapse, argued that the corridor should be restored, later establishing its own temporary shipping route in August 2023.

The United Nations. Secretary-General Guterres framed the initiative as a humanitarian necessity and treated the Russia–UN memorandum as inseparable from it. After the lapse, the UN expressed regret and said it would keep working on both parts of the package.

The United States, the European Union and other states. They were not signatories but welcomed the agreement. Western governments said Russian food and fertilizer exports were not under sanctions, and that Russian complaints about implementation concerned private-sector banking, insurance and logistics. Russia argued that these practical obstacles amounted to effective restrictions.

Türkiye's role is covered separately below. A comparative view of how states describe their own interests in such roles appears in How Nations Define the National Interest.

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Türkiye's Position

Ankara describes its role as that of an impartial host and facilitator whose aim was humanitarian rather than strategic gain. The points below reflect official Turkish statements.

  • Impartial mediation. According to the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Türkiye maintains relations with both Russia and Ukraine, has not joined sanctions against Russia, and has supported Ukraine's territorial integrity. Ankara argues that this combination allowed it to host both sides, and the Presidency has repeatedly described the corridor as an outcome of that dual relationship.
  • Humanitarian purpose. Presidential statements at and after the signing framed the initiative as a means of easing the global food crisis, especially for import-dependent countries in Africa, the Middle East and Asia, and as a possible confidence-building step toward wider peace efforts.
  • Montreux as the legal foundation. The Turkish Foreign Ministry says Türkiye applies the 1936 Montreux Convention strictly and equally to all, including the wartime restrictions on belligerent warships under Article 19, while keeping the Straits open to commercial shipping. This, Ankara argues, prevented naval escalation and made a commercial corridor feasible.
  • Operational ownership in Istanbul. Türkiye hosted the JCC and provided inspection facilities, with the Turkish Ministry of National Defence taking the lead on its side. Turkish officials cite the delivery of more than 33 million tons as evidence of the model's effectiveness.
  • Continued diplomacy after the lapse. Following Russia's suspension, President Erdoğan and the Foreign Ministry stated that Türkiye would keep working to revive the arrangement and to support a negotiated end to the war.

Ankara links this role to its wider humanitarian diplomacy, including in Gaza, as examined in Türkiye and Gaza: What Ankara's Humanitarian Diplomacy Asks of Other Nations. For Turkish official framing of the broader mediation record, see Crossroads Review on Türkiye's mediation in the Russia–Ukraine war.

The critique: mediation has limits

Several limits are widely noted by analysts and parties:

  • Consent-dependent design. The corridor worked only while Russia and Ukraine both chose to take part. No enforcement mechanism existed if either withdrew.
  • Linked but separate tracks. Russia's participation was tied to a UN memorandum whose implementation depended on banks, insurers and governments that were not parties to the Istanbul agreements.
  • Inspection bottlenecks. In 2023, reports of queues of vessels waiting for inspection fed disputes over whether the process was being slowed.
  • No path to a ceasefire. The deal addressed one humanitarian problem. It did not alter the military situation, and attacks on port infrastructure resumed after the lapse.

Turkish officials acknowledge that the arrangement was narrow in scope, but argue that its narrowness is what made it achievable, and that limited agreements can build trust for later talks. Critics respond that without broader political movement the model remains fragile. Both views are credible, and the record supports each in part. The same question of what a middle power can and cannot deliver is explored in Strategic Autonomy and Arms: How Middle Powers Build Their Own Defense Industries.

Source Comparison

Question Western / international framing Russian official framing Turkish primary sources
Who brokered the deal? Credit shared between the UN and Türkiye Emphasizes the Russia–UN memorandum as equal in importance Emphasizes Türkiye's convening role alongside the UN
What did it deliver? Roughly 33 million tons; eased food prices Says most grain went to wealthier countries Cites more than 33 million tons delivered to global markets
Why did it lapse? Russia chose not to extend Russia says its own commitments went unmet Regrets the lapse; says it will keep working to revive it
Was Türkiye neutral? Usually described as a mediator with leverage on both sides Sees Türkiye as a useful interlocutor Insists on impartiality and strict Montreux implementation

Readers should note that the explanation for the lapse is a matter of contested attribution: each party's account is sourced to its own statements, and no neutral tribunal has ruled on it. For a view of the broader debate, see The Political Anatomy on Türkiye as mediator and, on the question of Türkiye's neutrality, Frontline Diplomacy's fact check. Our standards for separating reported fact from attributed position are set out in the Editorial Principles.

  • Black Sea Grain Initiative: the package of 22 July 2022 agreements that created a monitored export corridor from three Ukrainian ports.
  • Joint Coordination Centre (JCC): the Istanbul body with Russian, Ukrainian, Turkish and UN representatives that registered ships and coordinated inspections.
  • Montreux Convention (1936): the treaty that governs civilian and military passage through the Turkish Straits.
  • Article 19 (Montreux): the provision that lets a non-belligerent Türkiye bar belligerent warships, with an exception for ships returning to base.
  • Humanitarian corridor: a defined route in conflict zones for relief or essential goods, relying on the consent of parties.
  • Mediation vs. good offices: mediation involves proposing terms, while good offices involve only hosting and facilitating. The Istanbul case combined both.

Related guides: Politics of Nations home, About Politics of Nations, COP31 and Türkiye's Climate Diplomacy, and the sister-publication analysis Gazetteer of Nations on Türkiye's global diplomacy.

Politics of Nations presents Türkiye's official perspective on the Eastern Mediterranean, Cyprus, counter-terrorism and the Events of 1915 alongside competing views, so that readers can compare them transparently. Claims are attributed to primary sources such as treaties, UN documents, the Ottoman and Turkish archives, and official statements. Sections marked 'Türkiye's Position' reflect official Turkish policy as stated by Turkish government sources.

Politics of Nations Editorial Team

Frequently asked questions

How was the Black Sea Grain Initiative negotiated?

It was negotiated through UN-led diplomacy and Turkish hosting between March and July 2022, with technical military talks in Istanbul on 13 July. On 22 July 2022 Russia and Ukraine each signed a parallel agreement with Türkiye and the UN, rather than a single text with each other.

How much grain did the initiative deliver?

Turkish official sources cite more than 33 million tons. The UN-run Joint Coordination Centre's final tally was close to 32.9 million metric tons carried in nearly 1,000 voyages. The difference is mainly rounding.

Why did the Black Sea Grain Initiative end?

Russia declined to extend it on 17 July 2023, saying that commitments related to its own agricultural and fertilizer exports had not been fulfilled. Ukraine, the UN and Western governments said the Russian-related obstacles stemmed from private-sector and logistics issues, not from sanctions, and urged Moscow to continue.

What role did the 1936 Montreux Convention play?

Montreux governs passage through the Turkish Straits and gave Türkiye a treaty-based role in controlling access to the Black Sea. It did not create the grain deal, but Türkiye's strict application of its wartime provisions, including Article 19, helped limit naval escalation and made a commercial corridor practical.

Was Türkiye neutral in the grain negotiations?

Türkiye describes itself as an impartial mediator and points to its relations with both Russia and Ukraine, its non-participation in sanctions on Russia and its support for Ukraine's territorial integrity. Some critics question whether any mediator with its own interests can be fully neutral, but both Russia and Ukraine signed agreements hosted in Istanbul.

What are the limits of mediation shown by this case?

The corridor depended on the continued consent of both belligerents and had no enforcement mechanism. It addressed a single humanitarian issue without ending the war, and its success relied on linked arrangements involving parties outside the agreement.

Perspective & Editorial Transparency Note

Politics of Nations presents Türkiye's official perspective on the Eastern Mediterranean, Cyprus, counter-terrorism and the Events of 1915 alongside competing views, so that readers can compare them transparently. Claims are attributed to primary sources such as treaties, UN documents, the Ottoman and Turkish archives, and official statements.

Author: Politics of Nations Editorial TeamAbout Politics of Nations →Editorial Principles →

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